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Serrano vs AD Astro

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2009 game between Serrano and AD Astro finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Serrano
20%
Draws
16%
AD Astro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Serrano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Serrano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Serrano Clean Sheet 18%
AD Astro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano AD Astro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.09 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2009 Baiano 2
AD Astro vs Serrano
1:0
May 24, 2009 Baiano 2
Serrano vs AD Astro
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano 40 / 100
AD Astro 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano AD Astro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serrano scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

AD Astro has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: AD Astro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serrano VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano

(Home)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
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AD Astro

(Away)
29 Jun
Itabuna
3 : 0
AD Astro
16 Jun
AD Astro
1 : 2
Colo Colo
08 Jun
Jequie
0 : 0
AD Astro
25 May
AD Astro
1 : 4
CE Flamengo
18 May
AD Astro
0 : 1
Itabuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Camacariense 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
2 Juazeirense 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
3 Galicia 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Juazeiro 6 0 1 5 4:10 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guanambi AC 6 4 1 1 9:7 13
2 Bahia de Feira 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 Serrano 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
4 AD Astro 6 1 1 4 2:8 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2009 (Play Offs)