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Serrano vs Camacari

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Baiano 2011
Serrano Logo

Serrano

1 - 0
FT
Camacari Logo

Camacari

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Baiano 2011 game between Serrano and Camacari finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Serrano
15%
Draws
0%
Camacari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Serrano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Serrano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Baiano 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Serrano Clean Sheet 20%
Camacari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano Camacari
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.73 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2012 Baiano
Camacari vs Serrano
1:1
Feb 22, 2012 Baiano
Serrano vs Camacari
2:2
Apr 3, 2011 Baiano
Camacari vs Serrano
1:0
Mar 26, 2011 Baiano
Serrano vs Camacari
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano 85 / 100
Camacari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano Camacari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camacari has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Camacari's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Serrano found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Serrano VS Camacari
0.83 Goals Scored 0.63
1.83 Goals Conceded 4.63
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano

(Home)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
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Camacari

(Away)
05 Jul
Redencao
4 : 0
Camacari
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
11 Jun
SSA
8 : 0
Camacari
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Jacobina
2 : 0
Camacari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia de Feira 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
2 Bahia 6 3 1 2 10:4 10
3 Vitoria da Conquista 6 2 1 3 11:15 7
4 Alagoinhas 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Campeonato Baiano 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria 6 5 1 0 14:5 16
2 Serrano 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
3 Feirense 6 1 2 3 5:9 5
4 Camacari 6 1 2 3 2:6 5
Promotion - Campeonato Baiano 2011 (Play Offs)