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Serrano vs Central SC

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Central SC in this Série D 2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Central SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Serrano
30%
Draws
39%
Central SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Central SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Central SC have won more games recently than Serrano.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Serrano Clean Sheet 20%
Central SC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano Central SC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 12
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2015 Serie D
Central SC vs Serrano
3:0
Jul 12, 2015 Serie D
Serrano vs Central SC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano 32 / 100
Central SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano Central SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serrano scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Central SC conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Serrano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Central SC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano

(Home)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
Page 1 of 6

Central SC

(Away)
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Central SC
21 Jun
Central SC
1 : 1
Ferroviario
14 Jun
Central SC
2 : 1
Laguna RN
29 May
America RN
1 : 0
Central SC
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
2 Rio Branco AC 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
4 Vilhena 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
5 Nautico FC 8 2 2 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River-PI 8 4 4 0 8:3 16
2 Palmas 8 4 2 2 7:4 14
3 Santos AP 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
4 Imperatriz 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 0 5 3 4:9 5
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campinense 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
2 Coruripe 8 3 4 1 15:10 13
3 Serra Talhada 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
4 Colo Colo 8 3 2 3 9:12 8
5 Globo FC 8 2 2 4 5:10 8
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central SC 8 5 1 2 11:5 16
2 Treze PB 8 4 3 1 11:5 15
3 Estanciano EC 8 5 0 3 14:11 15
4 Goianesia 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
5 Serrano 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Caldense 8 4 2 2 8:4 14
3 Aparecidense 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Várzea Grande EC 8 1 1 6 7:16 4
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CRAC 8 5 3 0 7:1 18
2 Botafogo SP 8 3 4 1 11:5 13
3 Gama 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
4 Duque de Caxias 8 2 1 5 10:11 7
5 Villa Nova AC 8 1 0 7 9:23 3
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga FC 8 5 1 2 7:3 16
2 Operario-PR 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
3 Resende 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
4 Red Bull Brasil 8 2 2 4 5:8 8
5 Inter de Lages 8 2 1 5 6:9 7
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Caetano 8 6 1 1 22:5 19
2 Lajeadense 8 4 3 1 11:9 15
3 Volta Redonda 8 3 0 5 10:14 9
4 CA Metropolitano 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
5 Foz do Iguacu 8 1 2 5 10:21 5
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)