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Serrano vs Estanciano EC

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2015
Serrano Logo

Serrano

1 - 3
FT
Estanciano EC Logo

Estanciano EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Série D 2015 game between Serrano and Estanciano EC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estanciano EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Serrano
15%
Draws
67%
Estanciano EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Estanciano EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Estanciano EC taking it.
  • Regular Série D 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Serrano Clean Sheet 19%
Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano Estanciano EC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2015 Serie D
Estanciano EC vs Serrano
3:1
Jul 26, 2015 Serie D
Serrano vs Estanciano EC
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano 10 / 100
Estanciano EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano Estanciano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estanciano EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Serrano scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Estanciano EC let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Serrano remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Estanciano EC
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano

(Home)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
Page 1 of 6

Estanciano EC

(Away)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
2 Rio Branco AC 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
4 Vilhena 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
5 Nautico FC 8 2 2 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River-PI 8 4 4 0 8:3 16
2 Palmas 8 4 2 2 7:4 14
3 Santos AP 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
4 Imperatriz 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 0 5 3 4:9 5
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campinense 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
2 Coruripe 8 3 4 1 15:10 13
3 Serra Talhada 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
4 Colo Colo 8 3 2 3 9:12 8
5 Globo FC 8 2 2 4 5:10 8
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central SC 8 5 1 2 11:5 16
2 Treze PB 8 4 3 1 11:5 15
3 Estanciano EC 8 5 0 3 14:11 15
4 Goianesia 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
5 Serrano 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Caldense 8 4 2 2 8:4 14
3 Aparecidense 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Várzea Grande EC 8 1 1 6 7:16 4
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CRAC 8 5 3 0 7:1 18
2 Botafogo SP 8 3 4 1 11:5 13
3 Gama 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
4 Duque de Caxias 8 2 1 5 10:11 7
5 Villa Nova AC 8 1 0 7 9:23 3
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga FC 8 5 1 2 7:3 16
2 Operario-PR 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
3 Resende 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
4 Red Bull Brasil 8 2 2 4 5:8 8
5 Inter de Lages 8 2 1 5 6:9 7
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Caetano 8 6 1 1 22:5 19
2 Lajeadense 8 4 3 1 11:9 15
3 Volta Redonda 8 3 0 5 10:14 9
4 CA Metropolitano 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
5 Foz do Iguacu 8 1 2 5 10:21 5
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Série D 2015 (Play Offs)