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Serrano vs Vitoria da Conquista - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Baiano 2012
Serrano Logo

Serrano

0 - 0
FT
Vitoria da Conquista Logo

Vitoria da Conquista

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Baiano 2012 game between Serrano and Vitoria da Conquista finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Serrano
20%
Draws
40%
Vitoria da Conquista
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Serrano haven't matched Vitoria da Conquista's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Baiano 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Serrano Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano Vitoria da Conquista
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2015 Baiano
Vitoria da Conquista vs Serrano
2:1
Apr 6, 2014 Baiano
Vitoria da Conquista vs Serrano
3:2
Apr 3, 2014 Baiano
Serrano vs Vitoria da Conquista
2:1
Mar 23, 2014 Baiano
Serrano vs Vitoria da Conquista
1:0
Feb 23, 2014 Baiano
Vitoria da Conquista vs Serrano
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano 36 / 100
Vitoria da Conquista 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano Vitoria da Conquista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria da Conquista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria da Conquista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 35 matches.

Serrano scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vitoria da Conquista lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria da Conquista
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano

(Home)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria da Conquista

(Away)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 Vitoria 22 12 7 3 53:17 43
3 Feirense 22 11 6 5 37:25 39
4 Bahia de Feira 22 10 2 10 34:30 32
5 Vitoria da Conquista 22 9 5 8 28:26 32
6 Alagoinhas 22 7 10 5 31:24 31
7 Juazeiro 22 6 7 9 25:44 25
8 Juazeirense 22 6 6 10 21:35 24
9 Serrano 22 4 11 7 22:30 23
10 Fluminense de Feira 22 5 8 9 21:36 23
11 Camacari 22 5 7 10 26:39 22
12 Itabuna 22 2 5 15 20:45 11
Promotion - Campeonato Baiano 2012 (Play Offs)