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Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sertanense host Oliveira Hospital in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sertanense at 0.68 goals for, 1.1 against; Oliveira Hospital at 1.56 for, 0.78 against. Head-to-head, Sertanense have won 1 to Oliveira Hospital's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2021, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.50, favoring Oliveira Hospital. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sertanense
35%
Draws
43%
Oliveira Hospital
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oliveira Hospital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oliveira Hospital come out ahead of Sertanense on wins alone.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 16%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sertanense Oliveira Hospital
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 4 16
Draws 13 10
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.68 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital
1:1
Oct 4, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Oliveira Hospital vs Sertanense
1:3
May 10, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital
0:0
Jan 12, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs Sertanense
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs Sertanense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sertanense 31 / 100
Oliveira Hospital 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sertanense Oliveira Hospital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oliveira Hospital Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sertanense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sertanense scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Oliveira Hospital conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sertanense VS Oliveira Hospital
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sertanense

(Home)
01 Nov
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 0
Sertanense
25 Oct
Sertanense
2 : 2
Fatima
11 Oct
Os Marialvas
0 : 0
Sertanense
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
Page 1 of 7

Oliveira Hospital

(Away)
01 Nov
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 3
Nogueirense
25 Oct
GD Os Nazarenos
1 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
18 Oct
Olhanense
2 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
11 Oct
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 1
Alverca B
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Os Marialvas 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
2 O Elvas CAD 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
3 Mortagua FC 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Oliveira Hospital 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
5 Uniao Da Serra 7 3 3 1 10:8 12
6 SB Castelo Branco 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
7 Malveira 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
8 Fatima 7 2 2 3 15:11 8
9 Nogueirense 7 1 5 1 11:13 8
10 Naval 1893 7 2 1 4 7:9 7
11 Alverca B 7 2 1 4 10:7 7
12 Sertanense 7 0 5 2 5:9 5
13 GD Os Nazarenos 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Fazendense 7 0 1 6 8:23 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)