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Sertaozinho U20 vs Itapirense U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
78' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Sertaozinho U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sertaozinho U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sertaozinho U20
28%
Draws
22%
Itapirense U20
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sertaozinho U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Itapirense U20 have won more games recently than Sertaozinho U20.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Sertaozinho U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sertaozinho U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Itapirense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sertaozinho U20 Itapirense U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Paulista U20
Sertaozinho U20 vs Itapirense U20
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sertaozinho U20 48 / 100
Itapirense U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sertaozinho U20 Itapirense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapirense U20 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sertaozinho U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Itapirense U20 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sertaozinho U20 VS Itapirense U20
0.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviaria U20541010:113
2Corinthians U2054106:013
3CA Juventus U20540115:512
4Santos U20532010:011
5Portuguesa U2052127:67
6Ponte Preta U2052125:67
7Portuguesa Santista U2052129:117
8Sertaozinho U2052123:57
9Jabaquara U2052033:46
10Sao Bento U2051135:74
11Uniao Suzano U2051134:134
12Itapirense U2051046:113
13America SP U2051041:103
14Mirassol U2050234:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ibrachina U20550015:215
2Sao Paulo U20541010:113
3Osasco Sporting U2054019:612
4Desportivo U2064026:412
5Aguai U2062227:118
6Santo Andre U2062138:87
7Piracicaba U2061415:67
8Uniao Sao Joao U2061325:56
9Paulinense U2061326:86
10Novorizontino U2051227:65
11EC Sao Bernardo U2051225:95
12Sao Caetano U2061147:124
13Bandeirante U2061144:104
14Botafogo SP U2050415:64
15Velo Clube U2060424:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bragantino U20550019:515
2Agua Santa U20742114:714
3Palmeiras U20541011:213
4Guarani U2054019:512
5Gremio Prudente U2063129:810
6Sfera U20630314:69
7Osasco Audax U2062226:58
8XV de Jau U2062135:137
9Capivariano U2061417:87
10Flamengo SP U2062045:126
11Ituano U2051316:86
12Tanabi U2061237:115
13Maua FC U2061234:115
14Referencia U2050144:111
15Porto Football U2060150:81