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Sertaozinho vs Sao Bento

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Luketa

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Sertaozinho and Sao Bento finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sertaozinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sertaozinho
39%
Draws
30%
Sao Bento
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sertaozinho come out ahead of Sao Bento on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sertaozinho Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Bento Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sertaozinho Sao Bento
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Paulista A2
Sertaozinho vs Sao Bento
1:0
Jan 29, 2020 Paulista A2
Sao Bento vs Sertaozinho
1:3
May 12, 2013 Paulista A3
Sao Bento vs Sertaozinho
3:3
Apr 21, 2013 Paulista A3
Sertaozinho vs Sao Bento
1:1
Apr 7, 2013 Paulista A3
Sertaozinho vs Sao Bento
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sertaozinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Luketa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sao Bento Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sertaozinho 32 / 100
Sao Bento 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sertaozinho Sao Bento

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SBT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sertaozinho scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Sao Bento let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Sao Bento has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sertaozinho VS Sao Bento
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Agua Santa15101424:1431
2Ferroviaria1584322:1228
3Ituano1584322:1428
4Sao Jose EC1583421:1327
5Sertaozinho1574419:1925
6Votuporanguense1573516:1724
7Juventus-SP1565422:2023
8Piracicaba1564516:1522
9Osasco Sporting1557322:1822
10Santo Andre1553716:2218
11Taubate1538422:2317
12Internacional de Limeira1544715:1816
13Linense1527612:1813
14Monte Azul1526717:2212
15Gremio Prudente1519512:1612
16Sao Bento1512128:255