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Serverense vs Campos

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serverense play Campos in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Serverense averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Campos averaged 0.81 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Serverense won 1, Campos won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2022 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Serverense and 0.99 for Campos. This points to a Serverense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Serverense
24%
Draws
21%
Campos
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Serverense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Serverense picked up more points recently compared to Campos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Serverense Clean Sheet 23%
Campos Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serverense Campos
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 2
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.83 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Serverense vs Campos
2:1
Dec 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Campos vs Serverense
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serverense 54 / 100
Campos 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serverense Campos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serverense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Serverense & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serverense attacking → ← attacking Campos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serverense scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Campos let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Serverense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Campos lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 15
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mallorca B403253105:27101
2Manacor402641074:4282
3UD Poblense40248889:2480
4Platges de Calvia402211756:2777
5Llosetense40229962:3675
6Santanyi402361166:4675
7Constancia402091154:3869
8PE Sant Jordi402081257:4668
9Portmany4017111255:5162
10Collerense401771645:4958
11Soller401691546:5257
12Binissalem4013121540:4451
13Mercadal4011121754:5145
14Inter Ibiza401272151:6243
15Rotlet Molinar401192035:5342
16El Espinar Sant Rafel4010102048:6440
17Campos4010102038:6440
18Felanitx409112043:6538
19Serverense40872535:7431
20Murense40582731:7623
21Son Veri40433328:12115