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Serverense vs Soller

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 encounter between Serverense and Soller promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Serverense averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Soller shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Serverense, 2 wins for Soller, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.02.22 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.54 for Serverense and 0.86 for Soller, suggesting the primary value lies in the Serverense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Serverense
15%
Draws
41%
Soller
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serverense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Serverense picked up more points recently compared to Soller.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.54 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Serverense Clean Sheet 25%
Soller Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serverense Soller
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 0.83 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.94
Expected Goals (xG) N/A 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) N/A 3.88
Possession % N/A N/A
Shots per Match N/A N/A
Shots on Target N/A N/A
Corners per Match N/A N/A
Yellow/Red Cards N/A N/A

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

06.02.22 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Serverense vs Soller
0:1
10.10.21 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Serverense
4:3

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Serverense

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Soller

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Squad Roster & Injury Alerts Unavailable

Real-time squad lineups, player goal/assist metrics, and live availability/injury alerts are currently not available. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serverense 45 / 100
Soller 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serverense Soller

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Serverense or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Serverense 48%
Soller 33%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Serverense 42%
Soller 43%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Serverense 44%
Soller 41%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Serverense 46%
Soller 39%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Serverense 40%
Soller 45%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Serverense 51%
Soller 47%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serverense attacking → ← attacking Soller

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serverense have found the net in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Soller have conceded at least one goal in 94% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.

Serverense remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Soller suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

History Log Unavailable

Historical prediction accuracy logs and success dashboards require a live connection to a completed tips outcome database. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 18
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88
N/A Ball possession % N/A
N/A Shots per game N/A
N/A Shots on target N/A
N/A Corners per game N/A
N/A Cards per game N/A

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mallorca B403253105:27101
2Manacor402641074:4282
3UD Poblense40248889:2480
4Platges de Calvia402211756:2777
5Llosetense40229962:3675
6Santanyi402361166:4675
7Constancia402091154:3869
8PE Sant Jordi402081257:4668
9Portmany4017111255:5162
10Collerense401771645:4958
11Soller401691546:5257
12Binissalem4013121540:4451
13Mercadal4011121754:5145
14Inter Ibiza401272151:6243
15Rotlet Molinar401192035:5342
16El Espinar Sant Rafel4010102048:6440
17Campos4010102038:6440
18Felanitx409112043:6538
19Serverense40872535:7431
20Murense40582731:7623
21Son Veri40433328:12115