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Servette vs Winterthur

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stade de Genève, Geneva
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Stevanovic M.
25' Event
Stevanovic M.
Assist: Kadile J.
29' Event
Aye F.
Assist: Kadile J.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Servette and Winterthur finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Servette.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Servette
30%
Draws
43%
Winterthur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Winterthur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Servette carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Winterthur's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Servette Clean Sheet 13%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Servette Winterthur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Servette vs Winterthur
5:3
Mar 3, 2026 Super League
Winterthur vs Servette
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Super League
Winterthur vs Servette
4:2
Sep 27, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Winterthur
4:0
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Winterthur
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Servette Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevanovic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aye F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Winterthur Compare

Top Goalscorer Burkart N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jankewitz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Servette 19 / 100
Winterthur 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Servette Winterthur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Winterthur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Servette scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Winterthur let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Servette remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Servette VS Winterthur
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Servette

(Home)
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
13 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 1
Servette
06 Sept
Servette
0 : 2
St. Gallen
03 Sept
Lugano
1 : 0
Servette
29 Aug
Servette
1 : 1
Luzern
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Winterthur

(Away)
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Winterthur
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
21 Aug
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 2
Winterthur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Luzern 38 14 11 13 76:66 53
8 Servette 38 13 14 11 71:63 53
9 Lausanne 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
10 Zurich 38 11 5 22 49:72 38
11 Grasshoppers 38 8 9 21 48:74 33
12 Winterthur 38 5 8 25 44:100 23
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Challenge League (Main)