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Servette vs Winterthur

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stade de Genève, Geneva
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Stevanovic M.
25' Event
Stevanovic M.
Assist: Kadile J.
29' Event
Aye F.
Assist: Kadile J.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Servette and Winterthur finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Servette.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Servette
28%
Draws
22%
Winterthur
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Servette

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Servette carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Servette's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Servette Clean Sheet 20%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Servette Winterthur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Servette vs Winterthur
5:3
Mar 3, 2026 Super League
Winterthur vs Servette
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Super League
Winterthur vs Servette
4:2
Sep 27, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Winterthur
4:0
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Winterthur
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Servette Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevanovic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aye F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Winterthur Compare

Top Goalscorer Burkart N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jankewitz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Servette 49 / 100
Winterthur 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Servette Winterthur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Servette scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Winterthur let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Servette remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Servette VS Winterthur
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Servette

(Home)
18 Jul
Servette
1 : 0
St Etienne
15 Jul
Lyon
2 : 1
Servette
11 Jul
Servette
1 : 2
Etoile-Carouge
08 Jul
Servette
2 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
04 Jul
Servette
1 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
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Winterthur

(Away)
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Union Berlin
14 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Bruhl SG
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2
Winterthur
04 Jul
Luzern
3 : 2
Winterthur
01 Jul
Winterthur
0 : 1
St. Gallen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Luzern3814111376:6653
8Servette3813141171:6353
9Lausanne381191853:6742
10Zurich381152249:7238
11Grasshoppers38892148:7433
12Winterthur38582544:10023
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Challenge League (Main)