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Servette W vs Thun W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Sobal M.
47'
Sub
Hamidi M. In: Batschelet C.
Out: Hamidi M.
56' Event
Simonsson T.

AI Match Summary

Servette W in this Super League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Servette W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Servette W
15%
Draws
48%
Thun W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thun W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Servette W have won more games recently than Thun W.
  • Thun W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Servette W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Servette W Clean Sheet 10%
Thun W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Servette W Thun W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 6
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.3 1.4
Goals Conceded 1 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Super League Women
Thun W vs Servette W
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Super League Women
Servette W vs Thun W
4:0
Feb 8, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Servette W
0:3
Sep 14, 2024 Super League Women
Servette W vs Thun W
2:0
Mar 30, 2024 Super League Women
Thun W vs Servette W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Servette W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marinelli G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sobal M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 1.04

Thun W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Servette W 10 / 100
Thun W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Servette W Thun W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Servette W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Thun W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Servette W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Servette W VS Thun W
2.5 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Servette W

(Home)
04 Oct
St. Gallen W
0 : 3
Servette W
01 Oct
Koge W
5 : 1
Servette W
23 Sept
Servette W
0 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
18 Sept
Servette W
0 : 0
Zurich W
12 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona W
1 : 2
Servette W
Page 1 of 6

Thun W

(Away)
30 May
Sion W
1 : 6
Thun W
23 May
Thun W
1 : 4
Luzern W
17 May
Yverdon W
0 : 2
Thun W
09 May
Thun W
4 : 1
Sion W
02 May
Luzern W
1 : 0
Thun W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 18 15 2 1 42:5 47
2 Young Boys W 18 11 3 4 32:13 36
3 Basel W 18 10 5 3 23:13 35
4 Grasshopper W 18 10 3 5 33:22 33
5 Zurich W 18 8 5 5 33:20 29
6 St. Gallen W 18 7 5 6 25:28 26
7 Rapperswil-Jona W 18 3 7 8 19:30 16
8 Aarau W 18 2 5 11 11:28 11
9 Luzern W 18 2 4 12 21:50 10
10 Thun W 18 1 3 14 17:47 6
Promotion - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)