Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sestao vs Balmaseda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Sestao Logo

Sestao

0 - 1
FT
Balmaseda Logo

Balmaseda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Balmaseda in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Balmaseda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sestao
20%
Draws
38%
Balmaseda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Sestao have won more games recently than Balmaseda.
  • Model gives Sestao a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sestao Clean Sheet 20%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestao Balmaseda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sestao vs Balmaseda
0:1
Dec 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Sestao
1:3
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sestao vs Balmaseda
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Sestao
1:1
Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sestao vs Balmaseda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestao 49 / 100
Balmaseda 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestao Balmaseda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sestao scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Balmaseda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Sestao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sestao VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestao

(Home)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1
Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
Page 1 of 7

Balmaseda

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)