Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Quintero I.
31'
31'
Urzaiz U.
66'
66'
Castillo Marcilla A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Basconia lately — more wins on the board than Sestao.
- Sestao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%
Basconia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sestao | Basconia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Basconia
2:2
Dec 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs Sestao
3:1
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sestao vs Basconia
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Sestao
2:3
Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sestao vs Basconia
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sestao Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo Marcilla A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Benito A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Basconia Compare
Top Goalscorer Quintero I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Urzaiz U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sestao 95 / 100
Basconia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sestao Basconia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sestao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Sestao remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Sestao's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Basconia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sestao VS Basconia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sestao
(Home) 16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2 Sestao
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Real Oviedo B
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3 Sestao
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1 Sestao
29 Aug
Derio
0 : 1 Sestao
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Real Oviedo B
01 Aug
Sestao
2 : 1 Portugalete
29 Jul
Sestao
0 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
22 Jul
Sestao
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
03 May
Sestao
1 : 0 Utebo FC
Page 1 of 3
Basconia
(Away) 13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1 Basconia
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3 Valladolid Promesas
15 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 3 Basconia
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1 Basconia
15 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 3 Basconia
08 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1 Basconia
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2 Basconia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Union | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 64:35 | 69 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 41:20 | 62 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 73:33 | 61 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56:42 | 58 |
| 5 | Tudelano | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:40 | 57 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 38:32 | 50 |
| 7 | Sestao | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 40:33 | 50 |
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42:36 | 49 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 10 | Basconia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Gernika Club | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Naxara | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:48 | 41 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Beasain | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 15 | SD Ejea | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35:55 | 35 |
| 16 | Mutilvera | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:65 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 32:59 | 28 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | 25 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
