Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sestao vs Basconia

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Quintero I.
31' Event
Urzaiz U.
66' Event
Castillo Marcilla A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sestao
6%
Draws
90%
Basconia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basconia lately — more wins on the board than Sestao.
  • Basconia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sestao Clean Sheet 12%
Basconia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestao Basconia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Basconia
2:2
Dec 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs Sestao
3:1
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sestao vs Basconia
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Sestao
2:3
Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sestao vs Basconia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestao Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo Marcilla A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benito A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urzaiz U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestao 10 / 100
Basconia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestao Basconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sestao scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Basconia conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sestao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sestao VS Basconia
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestao

(Home)
22 Jul
Sestao
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
03 May
Sestao
1 : 0
Utebo FC
26 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 1
Sestao
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
UD Logrones
2 : 0
Sestao
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Basconia

(Away)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
05 Apr
SD Logrones
0 : 3
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)