Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 game between Sestao and Bermeo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sestao.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Sestao come out ahead of Bermeo on wins alone.
- Sestao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Sestao have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sestao | Bermeo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 2 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bermeo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Sestao scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
Sestao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sestao
(Home)Bermeo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 65:21 | 86 |
| 2 | Sestao | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 74:36 | 78 |
| 3 | Alaves B | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 4 | San Ignacio | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 66:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Balmaseda | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 50:36 | 63 |
| 6 | Basconia | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 64:52 | 60 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad C | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 71:48 | 59 |
| 8 | Somorrostro | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 59:43 | 57 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 49:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Pasaia | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 33:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 38:48 | 48 |
| 12 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 46:46 | 48 |
| 13 | Beasain | 38 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 46:40 | 46 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 15 | SD Deusto | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 41:55 | 43 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:66 | 39 |
| 17 | Amurrio Club | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 30:64 | 34 |
| 18 | Ordizia | 38 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 40:72 | 31 |
| 19 | SD San Pedro | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 40:69 | 29 |
| 20 | Bermeo | 38 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 24:71 | 19 |
