Sport Picks
Sestao vs Gernika Club
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao 
Match Events
12'
12'
Morales I.
24'
24'
Rojo J.
65'
65'
Benito A.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Sestao and Gernika Club finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sestao's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Gernika Club have produced (0.88).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sestao Clean Sheet 21%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sestao | Gernika Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Sestao
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Gernika Club
2:2
Feb 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Gernika Club
2:0
Oct 9, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Sestao
1:2
Aug 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Gernika Club vs Sestao
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sestao Compare
Top Goalscorer Rojo J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Benito A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Gernika Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Agirrezabala J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sestao 37 / 100
Gernika Club 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sestao Gernika Club
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sestao's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Sestao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Gernika Club has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sestao VS Gernika Club
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sestao
(Home) 22 Jul
Sestao
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
03 May
Sestao
1 : 0 Utebo FC
26 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 1 Sestao
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2 Basconia
12 Apr
UD Logrones
2 : 0 Sestao
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Sestao
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
03 May
Sestao
1 : 0 Utebo FC
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2 Basconia
05 Apr
Sestao
1 : 1 Beasain
22 Mar
Sestao
4 : 0 Mutilvera
Page 1 of 4
Gernika Club
(Away) 03 May
Gernika Club
0 : 0 Alaves B
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0 Gernika Club
18 Apr
Gernika Club
1 : 1 Tudelano
11 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 2 Gernika Club
04 Apr
Gernika Club
0 : 1 Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0 Gernika Club
11 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 2 Gernika Club
28 Mar
Ebro
1 : 1 Gernika Club
14 Mar
Beasain
4 : 0 Gernika Club
28 Feb
Eibar B
3 : 2 Gernika Club
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Union | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 64:35 | 69 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 41:20 | 62 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 73:33 | 61 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56:42 | 58 |
| 5 | Tudelano | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:40 | 57 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 38:32 | 50 |
| 7 | Sestao | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 40:33 | 50 |
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42:36 | 49 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 10 | Basconia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Gernika Club | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Naxara | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:48 | 41 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Beasain | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 15 | SD Ejea | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35:55 | 35 |
| 16 | Mutilvera | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:65 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 32:59 | 28 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | 25 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)