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Sestao vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sestao host Gimnastic de Torrelavega in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sestao have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.16 conceded recently, against Gimnastic de Torrelavega's 2.07 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Sestao have won 2 to Gimnastic de Torrelavega's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 11, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 0.88) back Gimnastic de Torrelavega to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sestao
15%
Draws
21%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnastic de Torrelavega come out ahead of Sestao on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Sestao taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sestao Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestao Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.19 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.16 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Sestao
1:1
Feb 3, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Sestao
0:1
Sep 16, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:1
Feb 26, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
3:1
Oct 2, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Sestao
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestao 85 / 100
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestao Gimnastic de Torrelavega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sestao scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Gimnastic de Torrelavega has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Sestao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sestao VS Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestao

(Home)
30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1
Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Real Oviedo B
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Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Away)
03 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 2
Marino De Luanco
27 Sept
Real Oviedo B
3 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
2 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
3 Bergantinos 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
4 Sestao 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
5 Ourense CF 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
6 Gernika Club 4 2 2 0 11:3 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
11 Coruxo FC 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
12 Compostela 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
13 Real Oviedo B 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 4 0 2 2 6:13 2
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)