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Sestri Levante vs Asti Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Isoldi V.
48' Event
Garcia Magnelli M.
53' Event
Klimavicius A.

AI Match Summary

Asti Calcio in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asti Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sestri Levante
20%
Draws
47%
Asti Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sestri Levante have won more games recently than Asti Calcio.
  • Model gives Asti Calcio a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 16%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestri Levante Asti Calcio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Asti Calcio
2:0
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Asti Calcio
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Sestri Levante
0:0
Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Asti Calcio
2:0
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Sestri Levante
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestri Levante Compare

Top Goalscorer Klimavicius A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Isoldi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia Magnelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestri Levante 28 / 100
Asti Calcio 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestri Levante Asti Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asti Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sestri Levante scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Asti Calcio let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sestri Levante has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sestri Levante VS Asti Calcio
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestri Levante

(Home)
07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Pistoiese
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
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Asti Calcio

(Away)
04 Oct
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Millesimo
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)