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Sestri Levante vs Cairese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Klimavicius A.
50' Event
Jebbar M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Sestri Levante and Cairese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sestri Levante
15%
Draws
64%
Cairese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cairese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Sestri Levante carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 68%
Cairese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestri Levante Cairese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Cairese
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Sestri Levante
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestri Levante Compare

Top Goalscorer Klimavicius A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cairese Compare

Top Goalscorer Jebbar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestri Levante 42 / 100
Cairese 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestri Levante Cairese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestri Levante scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Cairese has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Cairese's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sestri Levante VS Cairese
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestri Levante

(Home)
07 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2
Sestri Levante
03 May
Sestri Levante
0 : 2
Sanremese
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Sestri Levante
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Cairese

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)