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Sestri Levante vs Fezzanese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Nicolini A.
41' Event
Conte G.
62' Event
Morelli M.

AI Match Summary

Fezzanese in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fezzanese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sestri Levante
15%
Draws
39%
Fezzanese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestri Levante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sestri Levante have won more games recently than Fezzanese.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 19%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestri Levante Fezzanese
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Fezzanese
0:3
Apr 22, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Sestri Levante
0:3
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Fezzanese
2:1
Feb 10, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Sestri Levante
0:0
Oct 21, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Fezzanese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestri Levante Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolini A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Conte G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestri Levante 32 / 100
Fezzanese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestri Levante Fezzanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestri Levante scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Fezzanese let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sestri Levante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sestri Levante VS Fezzanese
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestri Levante

(Home)
07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Pistoiese
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
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Fezzanese

(Away)
04 Oct
Fezzanese
1 : 2
Valenzana
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Fezzanese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 AS Biellese 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
3 Derthona FbC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Ligorna 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
5 Asti Calcio 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Gozzano 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Saluzzo 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
8 Millesimo 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
9 Chisola 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
10 Imperia Calcio 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 GSD Lascaris 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
12 Sanremese 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
13 Fezzanese 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
14 Sestri Levante 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Borgosesia Calcio 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Bra 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Valenzana 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
18 Celle Varazze 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)