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Sestri Levante vs Ligorna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bruzzo M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Sestri Levante and Ligorna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sestri Levante
6%
Draws
90%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sestri Levante haven't matched Ligorna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ligorna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 23%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestri Levante Ligorna
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 20
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Ligorna
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sestri Levante
1:1
Aug 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Sestri Levante vs Ligorna
1:2
Apr 11, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sestri Levante
1:1
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Ligorna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestri Levante Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruzzo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestri Levante 10 / 100
Ligorna 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestri Levante Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestri Levante's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ligorna conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Sestri Levante remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sestri Levante VS Ligorna
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestri Levante

(Home)
03 May
Sestri Levante
0 : 2
Sanremese
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Sestri Levante
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
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Ligorna

(Away)
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1
AS Biellese
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)