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Sestri Levante vs Ligorna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bruzzo M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Sestri Levante and Ligorna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sestri Levante
20%
Draws
51%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sestri Levante haven't matched Ligorna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ligorna's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 11%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestri Levante Ligorna
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.5 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Ligorna
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sestri Levante
1:1
Aug 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Sestri Levante vs Ligorna
1:2
Apr 11, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sestri Levante
1:1
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Ligorna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestri Levante Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruzzo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestri Levante 27 / 100
Ligorna 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestri Levante Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestri Levante's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ligorna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Sestri Levante remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sestri Levante VS Ligorna
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestri Levante

(Home)
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
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Ligorna

(Away)
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)