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Sesvete vs Cibalia Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL Stadion ŠRC Sesvete, Sesvete
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lagancic D.
15' Event
Ruskovacki M.
16'
Sub
Djira M. In: Rajkovic L.
Out: Djira M.

AI Match Summary

Cibalia in this Prva NL matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cibalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sesvete
20%
Draws
46%
Cibalia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cibalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cibalia lately — more wins on the board than Sesvete.
  • Sesvete are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Prva NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cibalia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sesvete Clean Sheet 20%
Cibalia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sesvete Cibalia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.47 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Cibalia
1:2
May 9, 2026 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Sesvete
2:0
Dec 4, 2025 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Sesvete
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Cibalia
0:0
Apr 17, 2025 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Cibalia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sesvete Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruskovacki M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cibalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lagancic D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sesvete 42 / 100
Cibalia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sesvete Cibalia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sesvete found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Cibalia let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sesvete went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sesvete VS Cibalia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sesvete

(Home)
27 Sept
Croatia Zmijavci
2 : 0
Sesvete
18 Sept
Sesvete
1 : 2
Cibalia
11 Sept
Dinamo Zagreb 2
1 : 2
Sesvete
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Sesvete
Page 1 of 6

Cibalia

(Away)
27 Sept
Cibalia
1 : 0
Dugopolje
18 Sept
Sesvete
1 : 2
Cibalia
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
09 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 0
Cibalia
05 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 1
Cibalia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
2 Croatia Zmijavci 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
3 Cibalia 7 3 4 0 7:4 13
4 Bijelo Brdo 7 4 1 2 8:6 13
5 Segesta 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
6 Mladost Zdralovi 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
7 Sesvete 7 3 0 4 9:8 9
8 Dinamo Zagreb 2 7 3 0 4 11:11 9
9 Dugopolje 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
10 Dubrava Zagreb 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
11 Karlovac 7 2 2 3 8:10 8
12 Orijent 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Vukovar 1991 7 2 2 3 11:14 8
14 Opatija 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
15 Hrvace 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
16 Kustosija 7 1 3 3 3:5 6
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)