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Sesvete vs Jadran Luka Ploce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL Stadion ŠRC Sesvete, Sesvete
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sesvete host Jadran Luka Ploce in the Prva NL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Jadran Luka Ploce have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Sesvete have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.47. Head-to-head, Sesvete have won 0 to Jadran Luka Ploce's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2023, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.31) back Jadran Luka Ploce to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sesvete
15%
Draws
51%
Jadran Luka Ploce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Jadran Luka Ploce at 1.75 per game, Sesvete at 1.47.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Prva NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sesvete Clean Sheet 18%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sesvete Jadran Luka Ploce
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.47 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Sesvete
1:1
Aug 26, 2022 Druga NL
Sesvete vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sesvete 32 / 100
Jadran Luka Ploce 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sesvete Jadran Luka Ploce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sesvete found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Jadran Luka Ploce conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sesvete stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sesvete VS Jadran Luka Ploce
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sesvete

(Home)
27 Sept
Croatia Zmijavci
2 : 0
Sesvete
18 Sept
Sesvete
1 : 2
Cibalia
11 Sept
Dinamo Zagreb 2
1 : 2
Sesvete
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Sesvete
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Jadran Luka Ploce

(Away)
02 Oct
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Jadran Luka Ploce
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
2 Croatia Zmijavci 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
3 Cibalia 7 3 4 0 7:4 13
4 Bijelo Brdo 7 4 1 2 8:6 13
5 Segesta 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
6 Mladost Zdralovi 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
7 Sesvete 7 3 0 4 9:8 9
8 Dinamo Zagreb 2 7 3 0 4 11:11 9
9 Dugopolje 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
10 Dubrava Zagreb 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
11 Karlovac 7 2 2 3 8:10 8
12 Orijent 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Vukovar 1991 7 2 2 3 11:14 8
14 Opatija 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
15 Hrvace 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
16 Kustosija 7 1 3 3 3:5 6
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)