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Sete de Junho vs Estanciano EC

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Sat, Aug 24, 2024
0 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sete de Junho host Estanciano EC in the Sergipano 2 2024. This one's hard to separate. Estanciano EC have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Sete de Junho have conceded 1.31 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Sete de Junho slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.00) point toward Estanciano EC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sete de Junho
20%
Draws
52%
Estanciano EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Estanciano EC have won more games recently than Sete de Junho.
  • Win probability leans Estanciano EC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sete de Junho Clean Sheet 20%
Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sete de Junho Estanciano EC
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2025 Sergipano 3
Estanciano EC vs Sete de Junho
0:0
Oct 9, 2024 Sergipano 2
Estanciano EC vs Sete de Junho
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 Sergipano 2
Sete de Junho vs Estanciano EC
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sete de Junho 12 / 100
Estanciano EC 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sete de Junho Estanciano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sete de Junho's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Defensive concern: Estanciano EC conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sete de Junho stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sete de Junho VS Estanciano EC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sete de Junho

(Home)
19 Oct
Sete de Junho
1 : 4
Socorrense
16 Oct
Socorrense
1 : 1
Sete de Junho
05 Oct
Sete de Junho
2 : 0
AD Boquinhense
02 Oct
Estanciano EC
0 : 0
Sete de Junho
28 Sept
Sete de Junho
1 : 0
CS Maruinense
Page 1 of 4

Estanciano EC

(Away)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)