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Sevilla B vs Marbella

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Guillen N.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Guillen N.
33' Event
Miguez A.

AI Match Summary

Sevilla B in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sevilla B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sevilla B
20%
Draws
29%
Marbella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sevilla B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Marbella have won more games recently than Sevilla B.
  • Model gives Sevilla B a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sevilla B Clean Sheet 68%
Marbella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla B Marbella
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.62 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Sevilla B vs Marbella
3:0
Mar 22, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Marbella vs Sevilla B
3:0
Nov 29, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sevilla B vs Marbella
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sevilla B vs Marbella
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Marbella vs Sevilla B
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevilla B Compare

Top Goalscorer Guillen N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Marbella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla B 95 / 100
Marbella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla B Marbella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sevilla B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marbella conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Sevilla B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Marbella has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla B VS Marbella
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla B

(Home)
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1
Sevilla B
31 Jul
Cordoba B
2 : 1
Sevilla B
23 May
Sevilla B
1 : 1
Alcorcon
16 May
Villarreal B
2 : 0
Sevilla B
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Marbella

(Away)
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sevilla B 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Don Benito 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Betis B 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
4 Tenerife B 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
5 Recreativo Huelva 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 CD Badajoz 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
7 Sanluqueno 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
8 Linares 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
9 Marbella 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
10 CD Estepona 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
11 Puente Genil 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
12 Atletico Central 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
13 Las Palmas B 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
14 Ciudad de Lucena 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
15 Antoniano 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
16 Xerez CD 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
17 Mijas Las Lagunas 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
18 Tamaraceite 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)