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Sevilla vs Aston Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Marcao In: Iglesias J.
Out: Marcao
45'
46'
Sub
Agoume L. In: Fofana Y.
Out: Agoume L.

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aston Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sevilla
15%
Draws
54%
Aston Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aston Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Aston Villa haven't matched Sevilla's recent run of results.
  • Aston Villa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 16%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla Aston Villa
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.17 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Sevilla vs Aston Villa
1:3
Aug 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Aston Villa vs Sevilla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Aston Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Barkley R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garnacho A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla 19 / 100
Aston Villa 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla Aston Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aston Villa conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Sevilla scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sevilla has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla VS Aston Villa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla

(Home)
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3
Barcelona
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
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Aston Villa

(Away)
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3
Aston Villa
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
08 Sept
Club Brugge
2 : 3
Aston Villa
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