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Sevilla vs Barcelona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Sevilla Logo

Sevilla

1 - 3
FT
Barcelona Logo

Barcelona

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Fofana Y.
Assist: Correia F.
22' Event
Raphinha
Assist: Christensen A.
52' Event
Raphinha
Assist: Lamine Yamal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Barcelona in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barcelona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sevilla
15%
Draws
58%
Barcelona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sevilla haven't matched Barcelona's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Barcelona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Barcelona have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 10%
Barcelona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla Barcelona
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 23
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.17 2.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Barcelona
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Sevilla
5:2
Oct 5, 2025 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Barcelona
4:1
Feb 9, 2025 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Barcelona
1:4
Oct 20, 2024 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Sevilla
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Barcelona Compare

Top Goalscorer Raphinha
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla 10 / 100
Barcelona 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla Barcelona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcelona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:10
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Sevilla found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Barcelona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Sevilla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla VS Barcelona
1.38 Goals Scored 4.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla

(Home)
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3
Barcelona
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
Page 1 of 6

Barcelona

(Away)
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3
Barcelona
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
13 Sept
Levante
2 : 4
Barcelona
09 Sept
Barcelona
5 : 1
Feyenoord
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)