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Seychelles vs Sri Lanka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Stade Linité, Victoria
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
De Silva D.
84' Event
Razeek A.
Assist: Suresh R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Seychelles and Sri Lanka finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sri Lanka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Seychelles
15%
Draws
78%
Sri Lanka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Seychelles haven't matched Sri Lanka's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sri Lanka a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Seychelles Clean Sheet 10%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seychelles Sri Lanka
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 26 12
Goals Scored 0.4 1.07
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Friendly International
Seychelles vs Sri Lanka
0:2
Sep 27, 2026 Friendly International
Seychelles vs Sri Lanka
0:3
Nov 13, 2021 Friendly International
Sri Lanka vs Seychelles
0:1
Aug 28, 2014 Friendly International
Seychelles vs Sri Lanka
3:0
Aug 26, 2014 Friendly International
Seychelles vs Sri Lanka
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seychelles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Sri Lanka Compare

Top Goalscorer De Silva D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Razeek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seychelles 10 / 100
Sri Lanka 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seychelles Sri Lanka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Lanka has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Seychelles scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Seychelles stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seychelles VS Sri Lanka
0.13 Goals Scored 1.25
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Seychelles

(Home)
30 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 2
Sri Lanka
27 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 3
Sri Lanka
29 Mar
Lesotho
2 : 1
Seychelles
26 Mar
Seychelles
0 : 0
Lesotho
14 Oct
Seychelles
0 : 7
Gambia
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Sri Lanka

(Away)
05 Oct
Mauritius
2 : 3
Sri Lanka
02 Oct
Mauritius
3 : 0
Sri Lanka
30 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 2
Sri Lanka
27 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 3
Sri Lanka
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
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