Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Trabelsi H.
24'
24'
Manai S.
33'
33'
Ezzine A.
AI Match Summary
Sfax Railways in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sfax Railways.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sfax Railways
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sfax Railways lately — more wins on the board than ES Jerba.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Sfax Railways taking it.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sfax Railways have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 68%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sfax Railways | ES Jerba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs ES Jerba
3:2
Jan 5, 2025 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Sfax Railways
0:2
Mar 6, 2021 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs ES Jerba
2:0
Jan 31, 2021 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Sfax Railways
1:0
Apr 5, 2019 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Sfax Railways
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sfax Railways Compare
Top Goalscorer Ezzine A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Trabelsi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
ES Jerba Compare
Top Goalscorer Manai S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rekik L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sfax Railways 59 / 100
ES Jerba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sfax Railways ES Jerba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sfax Railways Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Sfax Railways stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Sfax Railways's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: ES Jerba conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Sfax Railways VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sfax Railways
(Home) 26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2 Sfax Railways
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
Page 1 of 7
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
04 Apr
Sfax Railways
0 : 2 Sporting Ben Arous
28 Feb
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
16 Feb
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 3
ES Jerba
(Away) 23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
12 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 ES Jerba
01 Mar
Espoir Rogba
1 : 1 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
