Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Aziz O.
Own Goal
36'
36'
Lazzez H.
38'
38'
Masmoudi M. H.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Sfax Railways and Megrine finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sfax Railways.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sfax Railways
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sfax Railways come out ahead of Megrine on wins alone.
- Model gives Sfax Railways a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 68%
Megrine Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sfax Railways | Megrine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Megrine
3:0
Sep 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Sfax Railways
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sfax Railways Compare
Top Goalscorer Lazzez H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Masmoudi M. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Megrine Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sfax Railways 68 / 100
Megrine 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sfax Railways Megrine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sfax Railways Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sfax Railways went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Sfax Railways scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Megrine let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Sfax Railways VS Megrine
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sfax Railways
(Home) 26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2 Sfax Railways
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
04 Apr
Sfax Railways
0 : 2 Sporting Ben Arous
28 Feb
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
16 Feb
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 3
Megrine
(Away) 26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1 BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
13 Apr
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Megrine
29 Mar
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 1 Megrine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
