Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Amri H.
67'
67'
Ezzine A.
90'
90'
Aouichi K.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Sfax Railways and Msaken finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sfax Railways.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sfax Railways
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Msaken haven't matched Sfax Railways's recent run of results.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Sfax Railways taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 68%
Msaken Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sfax Railways | Msaken |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Sfax Railways
1:3
Nov 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Msaken
3:0
Feb 8, 2020 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Msaken
1:1
Sep 21, 2019 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Sfax Railways
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sfax Railways Compare
Top Goalscorer Amri H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ezzine A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Msaken Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sfax Railways 95 / 100
Msaken 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sfax Railways Msaken
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sfax Railways Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Solid form: Sfax Railways remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Sfax Railways scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Msaken's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sfax Railways VS Msaken
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sfax Railways
(Home) 26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2 Sfax Railways
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
04 Apr
Sfax Railways
0 : 2 Sporting Ben Arous
28 Feb
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
16 Feb
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 3
Msaken
(Away) 26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2 Msaken
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2 Msaken
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
19 Apr
CA Bizertin
2 : 1 Msaken
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0 Msaken
28 Mar
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 Msaken
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
