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SFC Stern 1900 vs Torgelower Greif

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2021/2022
Sun, Jun 5, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SFC Stern 1900 host Torgelower Greif in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2021/2022. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Torgelower Greif have shipped 1.08 goals a game lately, while SFC Stern 1900 have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, SFC Stern 1900 have won 0 to Torgelower Greif's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.60 xG vs 0.72) point toward Torgelower Greif. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
SFC Stern 1900
15%
Draws
48%
Torgelower Greif
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torgelower Greif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torgelower Greif come out ahead of SFC Stern 1900 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Torgelower Greif's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
SFC Stern 1900 Clean Sheet 20%
Torgelower Greif Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SFC Stern 1900 Torgelower Greif
Matches Played 24 25
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SFC Stern 1900 vs Torgelower Greif
0:0
Feb 20, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Torgelower Greif vs SFC Stern 1900
1:1
Apr 11, 2021 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SFC Stern 1900 vs Torgelower Greif
0:0
Oct 25, 2020 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Torgelower Greif vs SFC Stern 1900
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SFC Stern 1900 28 / 100
Torgelower Greif 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SFC Stern 1900 Torgelower Greif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torgelower Greif Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SFC Stern 1900's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Torgelower Greif's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 25 matches.

SFC Stern 1900 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

SFC Stern 1900 VS Torgelower Greif
0.5 Goals Scored 0.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.71
50% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

SFC Stern 1900

(Home)
27 Jul
Rsv Eintracht
7 : 0
SFC Stern 1900
24 Jul
SFC Stern 1900
2 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
23 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 3
SFC Stern 1900
08 Jul
SC Staaken
2 : 2
SFC Stern 1900
20 Jul
SFC Stern 1900
2 : 4
Berliner SC
Page 1 of 5

Torgelower Greif

(Away)
18 Jun
Torgelower Greif
1 : 3
CFC Hertha
12 Jun
Pampow
2 : 0
Torgelower Greif
04 Jun
Torgelower Greif
3 : 0
FSV Schwerin
28 May
Blau Weiss Berlin
0 : 2
Torgelower Greif
21 May
Torgelower Greif
3 : 0
SC Staaken
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greifswalder FC 31 21 5 5 61:35 68
2 Hertha Zehlendorf 32 21 3 8 67:31 66
3 CFC Hertha 32 19 6 7 58:36 63
4 Blau Weiss Berlin 31 19 3 9 64:41 60
5 TSG Neustrelitz 30 17 7 6 44:25 58
6 SC Staaken 32 17 8 7 67:36 59
7 Rostocker FC 31 18 2 11 68:32 56
8 Mahlsdorf 31 15 6 10 55:38 51
9 Torgelower Greif 31 14 6 11 60:37 48
10 Hansa Rostock II 31 13 8 10 73:49 47
11 Rsv Eintracht 31 11 12 8 49:43 45
12 Pampow 31 10 9 12 47:55 39
13 FSV Schwerin 32 10 4 18 39:63 34
14 Ludwigsfelder 31 9 6 16 31:46 33
15 Neuruppin 31 6 10 15 35:63 28
16 SFC Stern 1900 31 5 8 18 32:64 23
17 Brandenburger 32 5 7 20 26:55 22
18 Seelow 30 4 4 22 31:84 16
19 Stendal 31 3 4 24 27:101 13
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2022/2023 (Main)