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SFK United vs Ventspils 2

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1. Liga 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SFK United play Ventspils 2 in the 1. Liga 2013. Ventspils 2 are favorites here. Recently, SFK United averaged 1.36 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. Ventspils 2 averaged 2.27 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, SFK United won 0, Ventspils 2 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 3, 2013 ended 1:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for SFK United and 1.31 for Ventspils 2. This points to a Ventspils 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
SFK United
17%
Draws
58%
Ventspils 2
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ventspils 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • SFK United picked up more points recently compared to Ventspils 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
SFK United Clean Sheet 18%
Ventspils 2 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SFK United Ventspils 2
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 8 3
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.36 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2013 Nakotnes liga
SFK United vs Ventspils 2
1:8
Jul 13, 2013 Nakotnes liga
Ventspils 2 vs SFK United
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SFK United 26 / 100
Ventspils 2 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SFK United Ventspils 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventspils 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ventspils 2 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SFK United attacking → ← attacking Ventspils 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SFK United scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Ventspils 2 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

SFK United went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ventspils 2 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 57
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1BFC Daugavpils302541104:1679
2Gulbene30214587:3167
3Valmiera30185759:2759
4Ventspils 230183968:2757
5Liepajas Metalurgs 2301641060:3952
6Skonto 2301281050:4744
7RFS301271149:4443
8Rezekne301341355:5443
9FK Metta 2301181142:4241
10FK 1625 Liepaja301181151:4641
11Tukums 2000301221663:8038
12Jekabpils SC301021842:8132
13FK Auda Riga30841845:5428
14SFK United30822043:8626
15FK Jurmala VV 230802233:10924
16Jelgava 230332435:10312