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Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Bataeh

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Rashid Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Keita O.
44' Event
Neto
Penalty Missed
45'
Muhayer R.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai and Al Bataeh finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
28%
Draws
22%
Al Bataeh
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 20%
Al Bataeh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Al Bataeh
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Bataeh
1:1
Jan 7, 2026 UAE League
Al Bataeh vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:4
Oct 25, 2025 Presidents Cup
Al Bataeh vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:1
Jan 30, 2025 UAE League
Al Bataeh vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:3
Aug 24, 2024 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Bataeh
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezatolahi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Al Bataeh Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 49 / 100
Al Bataeh 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Al Bataeh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Bataeh conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai VS Al Bataeh
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520