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Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Esteghlal TEH - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai host Esteghlal TEH in the AFC Champions League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Esteghlal TEH have shipped 0.54 goals a game lately, while Shabab Al Ahli Dubai have conceded 1.15 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Shabab Al Ahli Dubai slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2017, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.06) back Shabab Al Ahli Dubai to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
35%
Draws
36%
Esteghlal TEH
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esteghlal TEH

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Esteghlal TEH carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 20%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Esteghlal TEH
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.93 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.15 0.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2017 AFC Champions League
Esteghlal TEH vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1:1
Feb 20, 2017 AFC Champions League
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Esteghlal TEH
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 36 / 100
Esteghlal TEH 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Esteghlal TEH

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteghlal TEH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Esteghlal TEH conceded in 42% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai VS Esteghlal TEH
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

(Home)
08 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
United FC
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
19 Sept
Hatta
2 : 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
14 Sept
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 0
Tractor
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 6

Esteghlal TEH

(Away)
12 Oct
Al Gharafa
1 : 2
Esteghlal TEH
08 Oct
Tractor
1 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Gamba Osaka 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Beijing Guoan 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Shanghai Port 2 1 1 0 7:5 4
5 Johor DT 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
6 Daejeon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
9 Kyoto 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Buriram United F.C. 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Ratchaburi 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
14 Pohang 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Newcastle Jets 2 0 0 2 2:10 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Esteghlal TEH 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Al Hilal 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 Al Ahli SC 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Al Qadsiah 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Neftchi Fargona 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
8 Al Nassr 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
9 Pakhtakor 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
10 Shamal 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Al Ittihad 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Tractor 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
13 Al Gharafa 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Al Wasl 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
15 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Al Sadd 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)