Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shabab Al-Ghar vs Ittihad Gharyan

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shabab Al-Ghar in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shabab Al-Ghar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Shabab Al-Ghar
30%
Draws
47%
Ittihad Gharyan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ittihad Gharyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Shabab Al-Ghar have won more games recently than Ittihad Gharyan.
  • Win probability leans Shabab Al-Ghar's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Shabab Al-Ghar Clean Sheet 20%
Ittihad Gharyan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al-Ghar Ittihad Gharyan
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 7 2
Draws 13 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.03 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Shabab Al-Ghar vs Ittihad Gharyan
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Ittihad Gharyan vs Shabab Al-Ghar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al-Ghar 36 / 100
Ittihad Gharyan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al-Ghar Ittihad Gharyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ittihad Gharyan conceded in 88% of 16 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Shabab Al-Ghar scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Ittihad Gharyan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al-Ghar VS Ittihad Gharyan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Al-Ghar

(Home)
25 Apr
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0
Shabab Al-Ghar
20 Apr
Shabab Al-Ghar
3 : 3
Al Tirsana
11 Apr
Al-Ittihad
4 : 1
Shabab Al-Ghar
17 Mar
Shabab Al-Ghar
0 : 0
Olympic Azzaweya
11 Mar
Al Shomooa
3 : 1
Shabab Al-Ghar
Page 1 of 6

Ittihad Gharyan

(Away)
26 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
0 : 2
Al-Ittihad
20 Apr
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 0
Ittihad Gharyan
15 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
1 : 1
Al Shomooa
10 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 1
Ittihad Gharyan
16 Mar
Ittihad Gharyan
0 : 2
Al-Majd
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)