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Shabab Baalbeck vs Tadamon

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Bazzi H.
78' Event
Bazzi H.
83' Event
Kaor M.

AI Match Summary

Tadamon in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tadamon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shabab Baalbeck
15%
Draws
46%
Tadamon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tadamon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tadamon lately — more wins on the board than Shabab Baalbeck.
  • Win probability leans Tadamon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Shabab Baalbeck Clean Sheet 24%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Baalbeck Tadamon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.7 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Tadamon
0:4
Feb 9, 2019 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Tadamon
2:0
Nov 24, 2018 Premier League
Tadamon vs Shabab Baalbeck
2:0
Mar 3, 2018 Premier League
Tadamon vs Shabab Baalbeck
0:1
Sep 17, 2017 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Tadamon
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Baalbeck Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Tadamon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazzi H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaor M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Baalbeck 29 / 100
Tadamon 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Baalbeck Tadamon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tadamon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tadamon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Shabab Baalbeck found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Shabab Baalbeck stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tadamon
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Baalbeck

(Home)
05 Jul
Al Sahel
5 : 1
Shabab Baalbeck
01 Jul
Shabab Baalbeck
0 : 3
Bourj
25 Jun
Shabab Baalbeck
1 : 0
Racing
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
3 : 0
Shabab Baalbeck
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Tadamon

(Away)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 11 10 1 0 31:7 31
2 Safa 11 9 2 0 30:4 29
3 Al Ahed 11 9 1 1 34:11 28
4 Nejmeh SC 11 5 2 4 12:8 17
5 Al Hikma 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
6 Tadamon 11 4 2 5 13:14 14
7 Al Sahel 11 4 1 6 14:21 13
8 Racing 11 1 6 4 4:14 9
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 11 1 5 5 7:15 8
10 Bourj 11 2 1 8 7:21 7
11 Al Ghazieh 11 1 3 7 5:18 6
12 Shabab Baalbeck 11 1 2 8 4:29 5
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Losers stage)