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Shabana vs Police FC

Kenya Kenya

FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Omar A.

AI Match Summary

The FKF Mozzart Bet Cup game between Shabana and Police FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shabana
40%
Draws
29%
Police FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shabana come out ahead of Police FC on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FKF Mozzart Bet Cup game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Shabana Clean Sheet 68%
Police FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabana Police FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 14
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Shabana vs Police FC
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Police FC
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Shabana
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Shabana
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Shabana vs Police FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Police FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Omar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabana 42 / 100
Police FC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabana Police FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabana scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Shabana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Police FC has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Shabana VS Police FC
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
13% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kakamega Homeboyz0
Ulinzi Stars1
Tusker1
Kariobangi Sharks0
Posta Rangers0
Nairobi United2
KCB3
Chebaiywa Lions0
KUTA Collection0
Shabana1
Police FC1
BB Bread0
3K FC0
Bandari2
Mfalme5
Muranga1
Quarter-finals
Ulinzi Stars1
Tusker2
Nairobi United0
KCB1
Shabana0
Police FC1
Bandari5
Mfalme2
Semi-finals
Tusker1
KCB0
Police FC1
Bandari0
Final
Tusker2
Police FC1
KCB0
Bandari2