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Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks Prediction & H2H Stats

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
80' Event
81' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Shabana and Kariobangi Sharks finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kariobangi Sharks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Shabana
35%
Draws
40%
Kariobangi Sharks
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kariobangi Sharks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Shabana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kariobangi Sharks are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Shabana Clean Sheet 21%
Kariobangi Sharks Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabana Kariobangi Sharks
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.92 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Shabana
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Premier League
Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Shabana
1:1
May 18, 2024 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Shabana
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabana 20 / 100
Kariobangi Sharks 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabana Kariobangi Sharks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kariobangi Sharks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabana scored in 71% of their last 24 games.

Kariobangi Sharks has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Shabana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shabana VS Kariobangi Sharks
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabana

(Home)
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 5

Kariobangi Sharks

(Away)
01 Oct
Mombasa United
2 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0
Sofapaka
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2
Kakamega Homeboyz
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)