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Shabana vs Muranga Prediction & H2H Stats

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Awiko W.

AI Match Summary

Shabana in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shabana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Shabana
20%
Draws
51%
Muranga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Muranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Muranga have won more games recently than Shabana.
  • Win probability leans Shabana's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Shabana here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Shabana Clean Sheet 68%
Muranga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabana Muranga
Matches Played 24 25
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.92 1.32
Goals Conceded 1 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Muranga
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Muranga vs Shabana
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Shabana vs Muranga
3:0
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Muranga vs Shabana
0:1
Jun 23, 2024 Premier League
Muranga vs Shabana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabana Compare

Top Goalscorer Awiko W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Muranga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabana 51 / 100
Muranga 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabana Muranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabana's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Muranga has conceded goals in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Shabana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shabana VS Muranga
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabana

(Home)
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 5

Muranga

(Away)
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2
Muranga
17 May
Muranga
1 : 3
Mahia
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0
Kakamega Homeboyz
06 May
Police FC
2 : 1
Muranga
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)