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Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Kara Gostar Shabestar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shahin Bandar Ameri host Kara Gostar Shabestar in the Azadegan League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Shahin Bandar Ameri have averaged 0.77 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Kara Gostar Shabestar's 0.55 scored and 0.84 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.74) point toward Kara Gostar Shabestar. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Shahin Bandar Ameri
35%
Draws
30%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Kara Gostar Shabestar have won more games recently than Shahin Bandar Ameri.
  • Model gives Shahin Bandar Ameri a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Shahin Bandar Ameri Clean Sheet 20%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahin Bandar Ameri Kara Gostar Shabestar
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 13
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.77 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahin Bandar Ameri 49 / 100
Kara Gostar Shabestar 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahin Bandar Ameri Kara Gostar Shabestar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shahin Bandar Ameri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Shahin Bandar Ameri stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Shahin Bandar Ameri scored in 55% of their last 22 games.

Kara Gostar Shabestar let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Kara Gostar Shabestar has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shahin Bandar Ameri VS Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.75
60% Over 1.5 50%
20% Over 2.5 13%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shahin Bandar Ameri

(Home)
04 Oct
Shahin Bandar Ameri
2 : 0
Saipa
27 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
2 : 2
Shahin Bandar Ameri
21 Sept
Shahin Bandar Ameri
0 : 0
Pars Janoobi Jam
15 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
10 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
2 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
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Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Away)
04 Oct
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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