Sport Picks
Shahrdari Mahshahr vs Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
Iran
Hazfi Cup 2019/2020 
Match Events
13'
13'
Farid S.
41'
41'
Savadkouhi M.
45'
45'
Mousavi E.
AI Match Summary
Shahrdari Mahshahr in this Hazfi Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Shahrdari Mahshahr lately — more wins on the board than Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Shahrdari Mahshahr have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Shahrdari Mahshahr, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Shahrdari Mahshahr Clean Sheet 18%
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shahrdari Mahshahr | Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 2 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 10 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2019 Hazfi Cup
Shahrdari Mahshahr vs Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shahrdari Mahshahr Compare
Top Goalscorer Farid S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Savadkouhi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr Compare
Top Goalscorer Mousavi E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shahrdari Mahshahr 36 / 100
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shahrdari Mahshahr Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Shahrdari Mahshahr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Shahrdari Mahshahr's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Shahrdari Mahshahr VS Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Shahrdari Mahshahr
(Home) 12 Mar
Tractor
3 : 0 Shahrdari Mahshahr
23 Dec
Shahrdari Mahshahr
0 : 2 Persepolis
17 Oct
Shahrdari Mahshahr
2 : 1 Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
01 Oct
Sardar Bukan
1 : 2 Shahrdari Mahshahr
30 Apr
Shahrdari Mahshahr
2 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6
23 Dec
Shahrdari Mahshahr
0 : 2 Persepolis
17 Oct
Shahrdari Mahshahr
2 : 1 Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
30 Apr
Shahrdari Mahshahr
2 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
16 Apr
Shahrdari Mahshahr
0 : 1 Baderan Tehran
04 Apr
Shahrdari Mahshahr
0 : 1 Havadar SC
Page 1 of 3
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
(Away) 17 Oct
Shahrdari Mahshahr
2 : 1 Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
30 Sept
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
2 : 1 Mes Nov. Kerman
17 Oct
Shahrdari Mahshahr
2 : 1 Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Niroye Zamini0
Navad Urmia2
PAS Hamedan1
Tractor2
Pars Janoobi Jam1
Zob Ahan2
Mes Kerman2
Baderan Tehran1
Mazandaran0
Shahr Khodrou1
Gol Gohar0
Naft Masjed-Soleyman1
Khoosheh Talai3
Shahin Bushehr4
Saipa2
Damash Gilan1
Sardar Bukan1
Shahrdari Mahshahr2
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr2
Mes Nov. Kerman1
Machine Sazi Tabriz0
Persepolis1
Qashqai Shiraz1
Sanat Naft2
Gol Reyhan Alborz1
Esteghlal TEH3
Fajr Sepasi3
Foolad2
Kheybar Khorramabad0
Sepahan3
Paykan4
Shohadaye Razakan0
1/8-finals
Navad Urmia1
Tractor2
Zob Ahan2
Mes Kerman4
Shahr Khodrou0
Naft Masjed-Soleyman1
Shahin Bushehr2
Saipa0
Shahrdari Mahshahr2
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr1
Persepolis1
Sanat Naft0
Esteghlal TEH3
Fajr Sepasi0
Sepahan2
Paykan1
Quarter-finals
Tractor4
Mes Kerman1
Naft Masjed-Soleyman3
Shahin Bushehr2
Shahrdari Mahshahr0
Persepolis2
Esteghlal TEH2
Sepahan0
Semi-finals
Tractor1
Naft Masjed-Soleyman0
Persepolis2
Esteghlal TEH3
Final
Tractor3
Esteghlal TEH2