Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League

Fard

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shahrdari Noshahr play Fard in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shahrdari Noshahr averaged 0.54 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Fard averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.46 conceded. In past meetings, Shahrdari Noshahr won 0, Fard won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Shahrdari Noshahr and 1.31 for Fard. This points to a Fard double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Shahrdari Noshahr

35%

Draws

41%

Fard

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Shahrdari Noshahr picked up more points recently compared to Fard.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 45%

Over 2.5 Goals 12%

Over 3.5 Goals 7%

Over 4.5 Goals 4%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 18%

Fard Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 41%

Second Half Goal 43%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shahrdari Noshahr	Fard
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	4	8
Draws	12	14
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	0.54	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.93	0.46
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Azadegan League

Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Oct 6, 2025 Azadegan League

Fard vs Shahrdari Noshahr

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Noshahr 25 / 100

Fard 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shahrdari Noshahr Fard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fard or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +100%

16.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shahrdari Noshahr attacking → ← attacking Fard

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahrdari Noshahr scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Fard let in goals in 39% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Shahrdari Noshahr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fard lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 38

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	32	19	9	4	46:15	66
2	Mes Shahr Babak	32	18	10	4	39:14	64
3	Pars Janoobi Jam	32	14	12	6	38:21	54
4	Sanat Naft	32	14	12	6	34:21	54
5	Saipa	32	14	11	7	27:18	53
6	Havadar SC	32	11	16	5	30:18	49
7	Fard	32	10	15	7	24:14	45
8	Naft Bandar Abbas	32	9	17	6	23:18	44
9	Mes Kerman	32	9	15	8	20:17	42
10	Ario Eslamshahr	32	8	15	9	16:16	39
11	Besat Kermanshah	32	9	11	12	24:27	38
12	Niroye Zamini	32	8	11	13	27:28	35
13	Naft Gachsaran	32	7	13	12	23:37	34
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	32	8	9	15	16:34	33
15	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	32	7	10	15	19:35	31
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	32	5	14	13	17:27	29
17	Navad Urmia	32	4	12	16	16:43	24
18	Damash Gilan	32	2	12	18	16:52	18