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Shahrdari Noshahr vs Navad Urmia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Shahrdari Noshahr and Navad Urmia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Shahrdari Noshahr
30%
Draws
0%
Navad Urmia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shahrdari Noshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Navad Urmia haven't matched Shahrdari Noshahr's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Shahrdari Noshahr a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 68%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahrdari Noshahr Navad Urmia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 13 10
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.53 0.47
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Navad Urmia
0:0
Nov 14, 2025 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Shahrdari Noshahr
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Noshahr 95 / 100
Navad Urmia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahrdari Noshahr Navad Urmia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shahrdari Noshahr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navad Urmia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Navad Urmia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Shahrdari Noshahr stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Shahrdari Noshahr's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shahrdari Noshahr VS Navad Urmia
0.38 Goals Scored 0.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shahrdari Noshahr

(Home)
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Niroye Zamini
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
21 Jun
Sanat Naft
1 : 1
Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 6

Navad Urmia

(Away)
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4
Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0
Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)