Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League 2024/2025

Shahre Raz

1 - 2

Fajr Sepasi

Our Tip

Match Events

Firooz F.

Nik Khoi K.

90'

Jafari S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fajr Sepasi in this Azadegan League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fajr Sepasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Shahre Raz

17%

Draws

13%

Fajr Sepasi

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Shahre Raz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Shahre Raz haven't matched Fajr Sepasi's recent run of results.
70% — that's where the model lands on Shahre Raz taking it.
Regular Azadegan League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 4 times recently and Fajr Sepasi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 24%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Shahre Raz Clean Sheet 68%

Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shahre Raz	Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	6	10
Draws	10	7
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2025 Azadegan League

Shahre Raz vs Fajr Sepasi

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Sep 28, 2024 Azadegan League

Fajr Sepasi vs Shahre Raz

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

May 8, 2024 Azadegan League

Shahre Raz vs Fajr Sepasi

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Nov 22, 2023 Azadegan League

Fajr Sepasi vs Shahre Raz

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahre Raz Compare

Top Goalscorer Nik Khoi K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Firooz F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jafari S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahre Raz 77 / 100

Fajr Sepasi 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shahre Raz Fajr Sepasi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fajr Sepasi conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Shahre Raz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Fajr Sepasi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fajr Sepasi

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fajr Sepasi	34	19	9	6	39:17	66
2	Paykan	34	16	13	5	43:21	61
3	Saipa	34	17	9	8	34:23	60
4	Sanat Naft	34	15	14	5	28:15	59
5	Ario Eslamshahr	34	14	16	4	33:18	58
6	Pars Janoobi Jam	34	14	11	9	40:30	53
7	Mes Shahr Babak	34	12	13	9	34:25	49
8	Shahrdari Noshahr	34	12	10	12	37:32	46
9	Naft Bandar Abbas	34	10	12	12	32:30	42
10	Mes Kerman	34	8	18	8	23:21	42
11	Besat Kermanshah	34	9	15	10	26:25	42
12	Naft Gachsaran	34	10	12	12	27:28	42
13	Niroye Zamini	34	7	16	11	19:23	37
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	34	7	15	12	34:41	36
15	Damash Gilan	34	6	16	12	20:39	34
16	Naft Masjed-Soleyman	34	6	15	13	29:36	33
17	Shahre Raz	34	7	12	15	27:34	33
18	Shahrdari Astara	34	0	8	26	14:81	8