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Shahre Raz vs Khoosheh Talai

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shahre Raz play Khoosheh Talai in the Division 1 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shahre Raz averaged 0.81 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Khoosheh Talai averaged 0.43 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Shahre Raz won 2, Khoosheh Talai won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 6, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Shahre Raz and 1.13 for Khoosheh Talai. This points to a Shahre Raz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Shahre Raz
29%
Draws
22%
Khoosheh Talai
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Shahre Raz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Shahre Raz picked up more points recently compared to Khoosheh Talai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Shahre Raz Clean Sheet 21%
Khoosheh Talai Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahre Raz Khoosheh Talai
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 13 6
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.81 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Azadegan League
Shahre Raz vs Khoosheh Talai
1:0
Oct 27, 2023 Azadegan League
Khoosheh Talai vs Shahre Raz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahre Raz Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasir J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Khoosheh Talai Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahre Raz 48 / 100
Khoosheh Talai 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahre Raz Khoosheh Talai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shahre Raz or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +37.5%
6.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shahre Raz attacking → ← attacking Khoosheh Talai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahre Raz scored in 54% of their last 37 games.

Khoosheh Talai let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Shahre Raz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Khoosheh Talai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 21
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kheybar Khorramabad34252759:2577
2Fajr Sepasi34227550:1773
3Chadormalu34227547:2073
4Naft Masjed-Soleyman341613547:2958
5Saipa3413111035:2850
6Mes Kerman341115828:2448
7Ario Eslamshahr3411131028:2846
8Mes Shahr Babak3411111232:2644
9Naft Gachsaran3410131135:2643
10Kara Gostar Shabestar3411101327:3443
11Pars Janoobi Jam3411101333:4243
12Esteghlal Molasani3410131126:3338
13Shahre Raz348121425:3436
14Shahrdari Astara34961922:4433
15Damash Gilan347111632:4532
16Darya Babol346131530:4131
17Shahin Bandar Ameri3449821:5127
18Khoosheh Talai34662217:4724