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Shahter Taganrog vs Astrakhan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kozhukhar I.
37' Event
Makhatadze G.
56' Event
Bertin G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between Shahter Taganrog and Astrakhan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shahter Taganrog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Shahter Taganrog
35%
Draws
32%
Astrakhan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Shahter Taganrog carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Shahter Taganrog Clean Sheet 20%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahter Taganrog Astrakhan
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.85 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Shahter Taganrog vs Astrakhan
3:1
Jun 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Shahter Taganrog
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahter Taganrog Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozhukhar I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Makhatadze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Astrakhan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahter Taganrog 31 / 100
Astrakhan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahter Taganrog Astrakhan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shahter Taganrog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahter Taganrog's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Astrakhan let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Shahter Taganrog stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shahter Taganrog VS Astrakhan
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shahter Taganrog

(Home)
03 Oct
Kyzyltash
2 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
26 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
19 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 0
Shahter Taganrog
12 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
4 : 2
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
05 Sept
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
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Astrakhan

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
2 : 1
Astrakhan
26 Sept
Angust Nazran
0 : 1
Astrakhan
19 Sept
Izberbash
0 : 0
Astrakhan
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
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