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Shakhtar Bulat vs Bayterek Astana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2015 game between Shakhtar Bulat and Bayterek Astana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shakhtar Bulat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Shakhtar Bulat
20%
Draws
73%
Bayterek Astana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayterek Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Shakhtar Bulat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bayterek Astana a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shakhtar Bulat here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 10%
Bayterek Astana Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Bulat Bayterek Astana
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 1
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 1.85 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.29 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2016 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Bayterek Astana
1:1
Aug 27, 2016 First League
Bayterek Astana vs Shakhtar Bulat
0:3
Aug 7, 2016 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Bayterek Astana
2:1
Apr 11, 2016 First League
Bayterek Astana vs Shakhtar Bulat
1:4
Aug 22, 2015 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Bayterek Astana
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar Bulat 26 / 100
Bayterek Astana 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Bulat Bayterek Astana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayterek Astana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shakhtar Bulat scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Bayterek Astana has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shakhtar Bulat remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar Bulat VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar Bulat

(Home)
05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
28 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
0 : 1
Zhenis
22 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
2 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
16 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
2 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
09 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
Page 1 of 7

Bayterek Astana

(Away)
02 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
1 : 1
Bayterek Astana
24 Sept
Bayterek Astana
0 : 2
FK Kyran
18 Sept
Baykonur Kyzylorda
3 : 4
Bayterek Astana
11 Sept
FK Kyran
0 : 2
Bayterek Astana
03 Sept
Bayterek Astana
1 : 0
Baykonur Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akzhayik Uralsk 24 17 2 5 60:21 53
2 Vostok Oskemen 24 15 5 4 37:22 50
3 Shakhtar Bulat 24 15 3 6 40:23 48
4 Kyzylzhar 24 14 4 6 41:19 46
5 Kaspij Aktau 24 12 7 5 35:18 43
6 Spartak Semey 24 11 6 7 34:19 39
7 FK Kyran 24 10 6 8 38:28 36
8 Maqtaaral 24 7 11 6 22:17 32
9 CSKA Almaty 24 8 3 13 29:46 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 5 12 21:31 26
11 Baykonur Kyzylorda 24 6 4 14 19:38 22
12 Bayterek Astana 24 2 4 18 13:52 10
13 Taraz-Karatau 2 24 2 0 22 4:59 6
Promotion - Premier League 2016 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2015 (Relegation)