Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shakhtar Bulat vs Okzhetpes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Zhumakhanov S.
26' Event
Zhumakhanov S.
59' Event
Bolov R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Okzhetpes in this First Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Okzhetpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Shakhtar Bulat
15%
Draws
78%
Okzhetpes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Okzhetpes lately — more wins on the board than Shakhtar Bulat.
  • Win probability leans Okzhetpes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Okzhetpes have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 20%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Bulat Okzhetpes
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.77 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Okzhetpes
0:4
May 28, 2022 First League
Okzhetpes vs Shakhtar Bulat
6:0
Aug 28, 2021 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Okzhetpes
0:2
May 11, 2021 First League
Okzhetpes vs Shakhtar Bulat
2:1
Aug 20, 2018 First League
Okzhetpes vs Shakhtar Bulat
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhumakhanov S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moldakaraev Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar Bulat 10 / 100
Okzhetpes 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Bulat Okzhetpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar Bulat found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Okzhetpes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Shakhtar Bulat has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Okzhetpes
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar Bulat

(Home)
05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
28 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
0 : 1
Zhenis
22 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
2 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
16 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
2 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
09 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
Page 1 of 6

Okzhetpes

(Away)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)