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Shakhtar Bulat vs Okzhetpes

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Zhumakhanov S.
26' Event
Zhumakhanov S.
59' Event
Bolov R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Okzhetpes in this First Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Okzhetpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shakhtar Bulat
33%
Draws
27%
Okzhetpes
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shakhtar Bulat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Okzhetpes lately — more wins on the board than Shakhtar Bulat.
  • Win probability leans Shakhtar Bulat's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular First Division 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Okzhetpes have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 16%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Bulat Okzhetpes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Okzhetpes
0:4
May 28, 2022 First League
Okzhetpes vs Shakhtar Bulat
6:0
Aug 28, 2021 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Okzhetpes
0:2
May 11, 2021 First League
Okzhetpes vs Shakhtar Bulat
2:1
Aug 20, 2018 First League
Okzhetpes vs Shakhtar Bulat
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhumakhanov S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moldakaraev Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar Bulat 39 / 100
Okzhetpes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Bulat Okzhetpes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar Bulat found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Okzhetpes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Okzhetpes registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Okzhetpes
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717