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Shakhtar Bulat vs Taraz-Karatau 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Galkin M.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Zhumat D.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Galkin M.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Shakhtar Bulat and Taraz-Karatau 2 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shakhtar Bulat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shakhtar Bulat
30%
Draws
34%
Taraz-Karatau 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shakhtar Bulat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Taraz-Karatau 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shakhtar Bulat.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Shakhtar Bulat.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in First Division 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 20%
Taraz-Karatau 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Bulat Taraz-Karatau 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2022 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Taraz-Karatau 2
4:2
Jun 25, 2022 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
2:1
Sep 12, 2021 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
4:1
May 17, 2021 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Taraz-Karatau 2
2:0
Oct 17, 2015 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Top Goalscorer Galkin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flyuk S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Taraz-Karatau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberdiev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar Bulat 36 / 100
Taraz-Karatau 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Bulat Taraz-Karatau 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar Bulat scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Taraz-Karatau 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Shakhtar Bulat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Taraz-Karatau 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar Bulat VS Taraz-Karatau 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717